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Hungarian PM Orbán claims US already accepted Russia won the war. He predicts formal Ukraine division into three zones

8 septembre 2025 à 11:29

isw hungarian pm orbán appears augmenting russian info ops victor president vladimir putin moscow 5 july 2024 ria novosti orban meets

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán has declared that the US allegedly acknowledged Russia as the victor in the ongoing war and that “Ukraine’s fate seems to be decided.”

Hungary is among the few EU countries, alongside Slovakia, that has a strained relationship with Ukraine, which deteriorated after Russia’s full-scale invasion began in 2022. Hungary has consistently blocked or vetoed key EU measures supporting Ukraine, including weapons shipments, financial aid packages, and accession negotiations.

Orbán’s government justifies this opposition by citing concerns over the rights of ethnic Hungarians in Ukraine’s western Transcarpathia region, though Kyiv views this as a pretext for obstruction.

Moreover, Hungary is the only EU member still purchasing Russian gas via pipeline as of 2024-2025. This energy relationship means Hungary continues sending billions in revenue to Moscow’s economy that helps finance the war effort.
 
The Hungarian leader argued that America has shifted its global strategy after recognizing China’s growing dominance in international trade.

“They [the US] have faced the fact that Russia has won the war. Without sending troops, Russia’s victory is inevitable, but troops are not being sent. Russia cannot be separated from China in the coming years,” Orbán said, Magyar Nemzet reports.

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Orbán divides Ukraine into “three zones”

The Hungarian Prime Minister went further, predicting Ukraine will be carved into three zones following future security negotiations.

The territorial division Orbán envisions splits Ukraine into:

  • Russian zone
  • Demilitarized buffer zone
  • Western zone

Orbán characterized Ukraine’s pre-war status as a buffer state with influence split equally between Russia and the West. He contends this arrangement has collapsed due to the war.

“Today, if you look at events and interpret them coldly, Ukraine is now being divided. Before the war, Ukraine had an important position, it existed as a buffer state: 50% belonged to the Russians, 50% to the West. As a result of the war, this collapsed,” he stated.

Then the Hungarian leader pointed to current European discussions about security guarantees as evidence this partition has already begun.

“Today Europeans elegantly talk about security guarantees, which in turn means the division of Ukraine,” he said, suggesting Western acknowledgment of Russian territorial control represents the first step toward formal partition.

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Orbán claims EU “in decay”

The Hungarian leader also delivered a sweeping critique of European unity, describing the EU as being “in a state of decay” and suggesting the bloc’s 2028-2035 budget could be its last before eurozone collapse. He contrasted this with what he called Hungary’s successful economic model.

Despite predicting Ukraine’s dismemberment, Orbán insisted Hungary supports Ukrainian survival.

“We don’t want to push Ukraine into nowhere, we are not anti-Ukrainian,” he stated, explaining that a collapsing neighbor would harm Hungarian interests.

Orbán calls for Europe to negotiate with Putin

Orbán renewed his opposition to Ukrainian NATO and EU membership, advocating instead for a Moscow agreement requiring Ukraine to abandon Euro-Atlantic aspirations. He criticized the EU for behaving “like a lame duck during the war” and called for direct European negotiations with Russia rather than American-mediated talks.

One of the key demands Russia presents as a condition to end the war is for Ukraine to abandon its aspirations in joining NATO. 

Previously, Orbán declared that Russia has already secured victory with only the timing of Western acknowledgment remaining uncertain.

  • ✇The Kyiv Independent
  • Orban claims 95% oppose Ukraine's EU accession in disputed Hungary referendum
    Hungary's government announced on June 26 that 95% of participants in a national consultation opposed Ukraine's accession to the EU, Hungarian news outlet Telex reported. The poll, promoted by Prime Minister Viktor Orban's government, has already drawn criticism over its credibility and turnout. Telex reported that the system could be manipulated — testing showed that users were able to vote twice using different email addresses. According to Telex, 2,278,000 people participated in the consultat
     

Orban claims 95% oppose Ukraine's EU accession in disputed Hungary referendum

26 juin 2025 à 06:43
Orban claims 95% oppose Ukraine's EU accession in disputed Hungary referendum

Hungary's government announced on June 26 that 95% of participants in a national consultation opposed Ukraine's accession to the EU, Hungarian news outlet Telex reported.

The poll, promoted by Prime Minister Viktor Orban's government, has already drawn criticism over its credibility and turnout. Telex reported that the system could be manipulated — testing showed that users were able to vote twice using different email addresses.

According to Telex, 2,278,000 people participated in the consultation — approximately 29% of the electorate that voted in the 2024 European Parliament elections. Of those, the government claimed 95% voted against Ukraine joining the EU, while only 5% supported the bid.

Ukraine applied for EU membership shortly after Russia launched its war in 2022 and was granted candidate status within months. As an EU member, Hungary has veto power over further progress.

The consultation results were released on the eve of the European Council summit, giving Orban leverage to delay Ukraine's membership. But the process itself has drawn skepticism.

Government spokesman Gergely Gulyas claimed printed ballots were notarized and secure, and that electronic votes, which made up 10% of the total, were being verified. However, he could not confirm whether the system could detect if someone voted both by mail and online.

Opposition leader Peter Magyar on June 22 dismissed the consultation as a "government propaganda campaign" and cited internal data from Magyar Posta indicating that only 3-7% of mailed ballots were returned.

"It's the lowest-ever turnout for any such consultation," Magyar wrote on social media.

Since 2010, Orban's government has conducted more than a dozen similar national consultations — non-binding letter campaigns with leading questions designed to reinforce government positions.

Previous campaigns targeted topics like LGBTQ rights and EU migration policy. In one 2023 consultation, voters were asked whether they supported Brussels' alleged plans to create "migrant ghettos" in Hungary — 99% voted no, with turnout under 20%.

On April 22, Orban said he voted against Ukraine's accession to the EU in the consultation, publicly sharing photos of himself marking "against" on the poll ballot. He warned earlier this year that allowing Kyiv to join the EU would "destroy" Hungary.

Orban, the EU's most openly pro-Russian leader, has blocked or delayed military aid to Ukraine, maintained close ties with President Vladimir Putin, and echoed Kremlin talking points.

Hungary's opposition and Western critics view his administration as increasingly authoritarian, citing the erosion of press freedom, judicial independence, and electoral fairness.

Despite the low turnout and widespread allegations of manipulation, Orban is expected to use the consultation's outcome to justify future obstruction of Ukraine's EU integration.

Hungary’s soft power meets Ukraine’s hard reality in Zakarpattia
BEREHOVE, Zakarpattia Oblast — Thin gray smoke drifts beyond the patchwork of Soviet-era apartment blocks, historical buildings, and hillside vineyards that make up Berehove — the heart of the Hungarian community in Ukraine’s westernmost Zakarpattia Oblast. “That’s Hungary, over there, where you see the smoke,” gestures Vitalii Antipov, a member of the local council, toward the not-so-distant horizon. He stands on top of a hill adorned by a massive white cross with a makeshift inscription thank
Orban claims 95% oppose Ukraine's EU accession in disputed Hungary referendumThe Kyiv IndependentMartin Fornusek
Orban claims 95% oppose Ukraine's EU accession in disputed Hungary referendum

'A total failure' — Hungarian opposition leader says Ukraine EU accession national poll had lowest ever turnout

21 juin 2025 à 23:13
'A total failure' — Hungarian opposition leader says Ukraine EU accession national poll had lowest ever turnout

Hungary's national consultation on Ukraine's accession to the EU had the lowest ever turnout at such a poll, Hungarian opposition leader Peter Magyar said on June 21.

"The... government propaganda campaign is a total failure. Based on information we received from multiple sources within Magyar Posta (Hungarian Post), only 3-7% of the sent 'ballots' were returned," Magyar said in a post to social media.

The poll was announced by Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban in early March and officially launched on April 19 with ballot papers sent to Hungarian citizens. Many ballot papers explicitly encouraged voters to reject Ukraine’s EU bid.

Orban, on April 22, said he voted against Ukraine's accession to the EU in the national consultation, publicly sharing photos of himself marking "against" on the poll ballot.

"This means that realistically, a maximum of 500,000 people may have 'voted' on paper... the Prime Minister’s Office revealed... that the number of online submissions was negligible compared to the paper-based ones," Magyar said.

"This aligns with information received from government sources — indicating that despite the propaganda lies, the total number of 'voters' could be at most 600,000," he added.

Despite the government's resistance, polling shows public support for Ukraine's accession to the bloc. According to Magyar's opposition party, Tisza's "Voice of the Nation" initiative, which received over 1.1 million responses, 58.18% of participants supported Ukraine's EU bid.

Magyar claims that the national poll garnered around 600,000 responses would mean that the opposition party's own polling received more responses than the government poll.

"This is the lowest number in the 'glorious' history of (national consultations). And this was only achieved over several months, with total mobilization and the burning of tens of billions in public funds. A total failure," Magyar said.

Hungarian officials have repeatedly threatened to undermine Ukraine's EU candidacy and EU support for Ukraine. Hungary has repeatedly blocked or delayed EU aid packages for Kyiv.

"(T)he failed, corrupt regime doesn’t care about people's real problems, and doesn’t dare to look people in the eye. They only send them letters," Magyar said.

Comrades, be proud of lying about two million pen pals, funded by 10 billion forints ($29 million) in state propaganda," he added, addressing Hungary's ruling government.

European officials have denounced Hungary for aligning with Russia. European officials, including Estonian Foreign Minister Margus Tsahkna, have suggested stripping Hungary of its voting power within the bloc.

Hungary maintains positive relations with Russia in contrast with other EU members. On March 26, Hungarian Foreign Minister Peter Szijjarto visited Moscow to discuss continued economic cooperation between the two countries.

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Editor’s note: This story was published in conjunction with Grist. Twenty-two-year-old software developer Artem Motorniuk has spent his entire life in the Zaporizhzhia region of Ukraine, living in the north and visiting his grandparents in the south. It’s been almost four years since he’s seen them in person.
'A total failure' — Hungarian opposition leader says Ukraine EU accession national poll had lowest ever turnoutThe Kyiv IndependentChad Small
'A total failure' — Hungarian opposition leader says Ukraine EU accession national poll had lowest ever turnout
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