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Why Polling Chaos Could Create Big Problems for American Politics

Bad polls. Misleading betting odds. Surveys meant to shape narratives. Ahead of the midterms and 2028, there is suddenly serious confusion about candidate strength and voter sentiment.

© Finn Gomez/Getty Images

Polls fueled a widespread belief that Representative Haley Stevens, a moderate Democrat, was a major underdog in Michigan’s primary for Senate to Dr. Abdul El-Sayed, a progressive. She ended up losing by just a percentage point.
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Alfalfa Sprouts Linked to Illnesses in 15 States, F.D.A. Says

Officials are investigating after multiple strains of E. coli and a type of salmonella sickened dozens of people across the United States. Two people were infected with both salmonella and E. coli.

© St Petersburg Times/Zuma Press Wire, via Reuters

Public health officials have tied a number of salmonella and E. coli cases to alfalfa sprouts produced by a company in Minnesota.
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America Ends a Summer of Lightning-Fast Primaries and Political Speed Dating

Plot twists in several states have led to rapid-fire races that have felt more reminiscent of European-style snap campaigns than traditional American marathons.

© Meg Kinnard/Associated Press

Senator Darline Graham and Representative Ralph Norman of South Carolina
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Website behind widely shared fake election polls run by 21-year-old

Exclusive: Rahil Prakash tells the Guardian: ‘I wanted to see if fake polls could penetrate the ecosystem that easily’

A 21-year-old recent college graduate was behind an anonymous website that put out widely shared fake election polling in Wisconsin, Nevada and California, the Guardian can reveal.

The website, Median Strategies, abruptly shut down and withdrew its polling earlier this week following questions from a reporter from the Los Angeles Times. In an unsigned statement, it described a “short-term social experiment” to examine how fake polling “could enter and spread through the political information ecosystem without independent verification”.

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© Photograph: Kayla Wolf/AP

© Photograph: Kayla Wolf/AP

© Photograph: Kayla Wolf/AP

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Their cities dropped Flock surveillance cameras. They’re still being watched

Despite policy victories over Flock, Americans are finding themselves under similar monitoring by a new company – or unable to remove the original cameras

Activists in Colorado thought they would be celebrating a victory against mass surveillance in December when the Longmont city council decided to let a contract with Flock Safety lapse.

But that excitement was cut short only months later when lawmakers voted to approve a new vendor to install automated license plate readers (ALPRs) on the city’s streets.

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© Composite: Boulder Daily Camera via Getty Images, Columbus Dispatch via USA Today/Reuters

© Composite: Boulder Daily Camera via Getty Images, Columbus Dispatch via USA Today/Reuters

© Composite: Boulder Daily Camera via Getty Images, Columbus Dispatch via USA Today/Reuters

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Democrats Face a Potential Tea Party Moment

A string of primary wins by progressive candidates has revealed the strength of a high-energy insurgent movement but also its possible limitations.

© Angelina Katsanis for The New York Times

Bernie Sanders and Zohran Mamdani at a rally last week.
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