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Poll Shows Josh Shapiro Leading Pennsylvania Governor’s Race

25 août 2026 à 05:03
A New York Times/Philadelphia Inquirer/Siena poll found Gov. Josh Shapiro leading Stacy Garrity and having support in the state for a possible presidential bid.

© Rachel Wisniewski for The New York Times; Hannah Beier/Reuters

Why Polling Chaos Could Create Big Problems for American Politics

22 août 2026 à 05:02
Bad polls. Misleading betting odds. Surveys meant to shape narratives. Ahead of the midterms and 2028, there is suddenly serious confusion about candidate strength and voter sentiment.

© Finn Gomez/Getty Images

Polls fueled a widespread belief that Representative Haley Stevens, a moderate Democrat, was a major underdog in Michigan’s primary for Senate to Dr. Abdul El-Sayed, a progressive. She ended up losing by just a percentage point.
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