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Poll Shows Josh Shapiro Leading Pennsylvania Governor’s Race

A New York Times/Philadelphia Inquirer/Siena poll found Gov. Josh Shapiro leading Stacy Garrity and having support in the state for a possible presidential bid.

© Rachel Wisniewski for The New York Times; Hannah Beier/Reuters

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Why Polling Chaos Could Create Big Problems for American Politics

Bad polls. Misleading betting odds. Surveys meant to shape narratives. Ahead of the midterms and 2028, there is suddenly serious confusion about candidate strength and voter sentiment.

© Finn Gomez/Getty Images

Polls fueled a widespread belief that Representative Haley Stevens, a moderate Democrat, was a major underdog in Michigan’s primary for Senate to Dr. Abdul El-Sayed, a progressive. She ended up losing by just a percentage point.
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