Bad polls. Misleading betting odds. Surveys meant to shape narratives. Ahead of the midterms and 2028, there is suddenly serious confusion about candidate strength and voter sentiment.
Bad polls. Misleading betting odds. Surveys meant to shape narratives. Ahead of the midterms and 2028, there is suddenly serious confusion about candidate strength and voter sentiment.
Polls fueled a widespread belief that Representative Haley Stevens, a moderate Democrat, was a major underdog in Michigan’s primary for Senate to Dr. Abdul El-Sayed, a progressive. She ended up losing by just a percentage point.
Plot twists in several states have led to rapid-fire races that have felt more reminiscent of European-style snap campaigns than traditional American marathons.
Plot twists in several states have led to rapid-fire races that have felt more reminiscent of European-style snap campaigns than traditional American marathons.
Florida counted most of its primary ballots within hours on Tuesday night, well ahead of the days California took to report the results of its major election.
Florida counted most of its primary ballots within hours on Tuesday night, well ahead of the days California took to report the results of its major election.
Election workers sort vote-by-mail ballots at the Miami-Dade County Supervisor of Elections Office for the Florida primary election in Doral, Fla., on Tuesday.
The South Carolina senator has argued that her lack of political experience is a strength as she runs to succeed her late brother, Lindsey Graham. But a debate misstep has rattled some of her supporters.
The South Carolina senator has argued that her lack of political experience is a strength as she runs to succeed her late brother, Lindsey Graham. But a debate misstep has rattled some of her supporters.
The Wyoming Freedom Caucus had ambitions for a total takeover of elected state government. But its candidates were rejected from the governor’s mansion to the Legislature.
The Wyoming Freedom Caucus had ambitions for a total takeover of elected state government. But its candidates were rejected from the governor’s mansion to the Legislature.
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