Bad polls. Misleading betting odds. Surveys meant to shape narratives. Ahead of the midterms and 2028, there is suddenly serious confusion about candidate strength and voter sentiment.
Bad polls. Misleading betting odds. Surveys meant to shape narratives. Ahead of the midterms and 2028, there is suddenly serious confusion about candidate strength and voter sentiment.
Polls fueled a widespread belief that Representative Haley Stevens, a moderate Democrat, was a major underdog in Michigan’s primary for Senate to Dr. Abdul El-Sayed, a progressive. She ended up losing by just a percentage point.
Representative Byron Donalds had a wide lead in polls of the race for the Republican nomination for governor. Polling was sparse in every other statewide contest.
Representative Byron Donalds had a wide lead in polls of the race for the Republican nomination for governor. Polling was sparse in every other statewide contest.
Nigel Farage, the leader of Reform U.K., won the Clacton by-election with 63 percent. Count Binface, a novelty candidate, came second with 27 percent, a personal best.
Nigel Farage, the leader of Reform U.K., won the Clacton by-election with 63 percent. Count Binface, a novelty candidate, came second with 27 percent, a personal best.
Some Democrats said the outcome showed that the moderate wing of the party carried more electoral weight, while Ms. Hong’s strong showing gave some progressives hope.
Some Democrats said the outcome showed that the moderate wing of the party carried more electoral weight, while Ms. Hong’s strong showing gave some progressives hope.
Francesca Hong speaking after losing the Wisconsin primary election. While democratic socialists planned to study Ms. Hong’s loss to improve their electoral fortunes, several said they viewed Tuesday’s result as strong proof of the movement’s rise.
Nigel Farage forced a new election in his parliamentary seat after coming under pressure over his finances. His main challenger is Count Binface, a novelty candidate.
Nigel Farage forced a new election in his parliamentary seat after coming under pressure over his finances. His main challenger is Count Binface, a novelty candidate.
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