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  • ISW: Russia resumes nuclear blackmail in push to influence Western aid talks
    Russia’s top officials have revived unproven allegations that Ukraine may use a “dirty bomb,” coinciding with ongoing discussions in the US and Europe on increasing military assistance to Ukraine. At the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF) on 20 June, Russian President Vladimir Putin responded to a moderator’s question by issuing new nuclear-tinged threats—despite acknowledging there is no evidence behind the claim, the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) reports. Russian offici
     

ISW: Russia resumes nuclear blackmail in push to influence Western aid talks

22 juin 2025 à 13:16

Russian President Vladimir Putin attending an Easter service in Moscow. April 2025. Photo: kremlin.ru

Russia’s top officials have revived unproven allegations that Ukraine may use a “dirty bomb,” coinciding with ongoing discussions in the US and Europe on increasing military assistance to Ukraine. At the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF) on 20 June, Russian President Vladimir Putin responded to a moderator’s question by issuing new nuclear-tinged threats—despite acknowledging there is no evidence behind the claim, the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) reports.

Russian officials have previously deployed nuclear blackmail to shape Western discourse around Ukraine. The earlier waves of the dirty bomb narrative, particularly in 2022, coincided with moments of high-stakes decision-making in the West regarding Ukraine. The current timing once again points to Moscow’s strategic use of disinformation and fear tactics.

Speaking at SPIEF, Putin warned that a Ukrainian use of a dirty bomb—a conventional explosive laced with radioactive material—would be a “colossal mistake.” He stated,

“Russia will respond proportionately to all threats,” and emphasized that such a response would be “catastrophic” for Ukraine.

However, he also admitted that “there is no evidence” that Ukraine plans to use such a weapon.

Medvedev resorts to nuclear blackmail, amplifying non-existing threat

The day after Putin’s comments, on 21 June, Russian Security Council Deputy Chairperson Dmitry Medvedev escalated the rhetoric further. According to the Institute for the Study of War (ISW), Medvedev stated that Russia would respond with a tactical nuclear weapon if Ukraine used a dirty bomb against Russian targets. His remarks followed the same narrative outlined by Putin, despite the lack of substantiating evidence.

Russia shields Iran’s nuclear ambitions, Zelenskyy warns

Narrative aims to disrupt Western military support

The ISW noted in its 21 June assessment that the Kremlin’s reintroduction of the dirty bomb narrative mirrors similar tactics used in March and October 2022. At those times, Russian officials also intensified nuclear threats, which ISW assessed were designed to slow down Western military aid to Ukraine and weaken allied unity.

Russian officials are likely reintroducing this narrative amid ongoing debates in the United States and Europe about further aiding Ukraine,” ISW wrote.

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