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ISW: Russia masses nine brigades on a 41‑kilometer strip — Huliaipole axis in Zaporizhzhia Oblast faces major pressure (MAP)

Par :Yuri Zoria

isw russia masses nine brigades 41‑kilometer strip — hulyaipole axis zaporizhzhia oblast faces major pressure · post eastern-zaporizhia-november-13-2 russian forces continue advance near velykomykhailivka area where three regions—zaporizhzhia donetsk dnipropetrovsk—meet

Russian forces continue to advance near Huliaipole and Velykomykhailivka, in the area where three regions—Zaporizhzhia, Donetsk, and Dnipropetrovsk—meet. According to the Institute for the Study of War (ISW), they are taking advantage of poor weather and months of targeted airstrikes to weaken Ukrainian defenses and limit drone surveillance.

This comes amid the ongoing Russo-Ukrainian war, as Russia has focused its main offensive efforts near Pokrovsk in Donetsk Oblast. With Ukrainian reserves tied down there, Russia is attempting a secondary push further south.
ISW reiterated that recent Russian gains are partly the result of a prolonged battlefield air interdiction campaign targeting Ukrainian ground lines of communication in the Huliaipole and Velykomykhailivka areas. Roads, highways, and railway lines have been under sustained attack. In parallel, deteriorating weather — marked by rain and fog — has made Ukrainian drone reconnaissance far less effective.

Russia intensifies push near Hulyaipole and T‑0401 highway

ISW reported on 13 November that Russian troops continued to press toward Huliaipole in Zaporizhzhia Oblast and along the T‑0401 Pokrovske–Huliaipole highway — a vital supply route for Ukrainian forces. Russian units reached positions near Solodke, Yablukove, and Vesele, located within a nine-kilometer range of the town. Additional infiltration operations were also reported further north toward Danylivka, along the same highway.

ISW assessed that the Russian 5th Combined Arms Army and parts of the 36th Combined Arms Army are working to isolate Huliaipole from the northeast. The goal appears to be to degrade Ukrainian defenses through a mix of battlefield air interdiction, infiltration tactics, and coordinated ground advances. Meanwhile, elements of the 35th Combined Arms Army — previously stationed south and southwest of Huliaipole — have reportedly redeployed to reinforce the 5th Army's efforts.

According to ISW, the Russian military is likely avoiding a southern encirclement attempt, where Ukrainian defenses remain strongest.

Russian flags raised in Danylivka as Ukraine withdraws from Rivnopillya

Geolocated video published on 13 November showed Russian servicemembers raising flags in Danylivka, southwest of Velykomykhailivka. ISW assessed this to be the result of an infiltration mission, likely routed through Tsehelne and Yehorivka — two villages just east of Danylivka.

isw russia masses nine brigades 41‑kilometer strip — hulyaipole axis zaporizhzhia oblast faces major pressure · post eastern-dnipropetrovsk-direction russian forces continue advance near velykomykhailivka area where three regions—zaporizhzhia donetsk dnipropetrovsk—meet
Map: ISW.

Russian sources claimed the seizure of both Rivnopillya, located northeast of Huliaipole, and Danylivka, with the latter reportedly taken by the Russian 5th Tank Brigade (36th CAA). Ukraine’s Southern Operational Command confirmed on 12 November that Ukrainian troops had withdrawn from Rivnopillya the evening before. On 13 November, Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief General Oleksandr Syrskyi said Russian forces were operating near Solodke, Yablukove, and Vesele — confirming continued Russian advances across multiple villages northeast and east of Huliaipole.

Russian brigades push toward Yehorivka and beyond

Ukrainian military observer Kostyantyn Mashovets reported on 13 November that elements of the Russian 37th Motorized Rifle Brigade reached the Novooleksandrivka–Oleksiivka line, southwest of Velykomykhailivka. The unit reportedly gained a foothold east of Yehorivka and achieved “tactical successes” in the Yehorivka–Danylivka direction over the past two weeks. Mashovets also noted that Russian forces crossed the Yanchur River near Uspenivka, northeast of Huliaipole, and advanced westward to the Solodke–Rivnopillya line — a seven-kilometer movement.

According to Mashovets, Russian command has concentrated forces from up to nine brigades and regiments — including one tank brigade — along a 41-kilometer front. Up to six additional regiment- and battalion-sized units were also identified. Among the reinforcements are elements of the Russian 69th Covering Brigade and 38th Motorized Rifle Brigade (both from the 35th CAA), likely now operating east and northeast of Huliaipole alongside the 5th CAA’s 127th Motorized Rifle Division.

He also assessed that Russian leadership may transfer units from the 58th Combined Arms Army (Southern Military District) and elements of the 98th Airborne Division and 41st CAA (both under the Central Grouping of Forces) to reinforce operations around Huliaipole and Velykomykhailivka.

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