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  • Sydney Sweeney’s prediction ad is cynical, unhealthy and reveals plenty about modern sports | Jane McManus
    The actor’s latest promotion has stirred outrage but will no doubt be good for the prediction markets hoping to lure in young menPrediction markets are a cynical business.Many customers will lose money, and the real product may just be the delightful dopamine hit that comes in that brief window between placing a bet and its outcome – which is statistically more likely to be a disappointment than a victory. So the bettor has to think they are buying more than their own fleecing. Continue reading.
     

Sydney Sweeney’s prediction ad is cynical, unhealthy and reveals plenty about modern sports | Jane McManus

14 septembre 2026 à 10:30

The actor’s latest promotion has stirred outrage but will no doubt be good for the prediction markets hoping to lure in young men

Prediction markets are a cynical business.

Many customers will lose money, and the real product may just be the delightful dopamine hit that comes in that brief window between placing a bet and its outcome – which is statistically more likely to be a disappointment than a victory. So the bettor has to think they are buying more than their own fleecing.

Continue reading...

© Photograph: Novig

© Photograph: Novig

© Photograph: Novig

What Are Kalshi and Polymarket?

11 septembre 2026 à 10:35
Prediction markets have taken off in popularity, drawing billions of dollars in trades. Some states have tried to ban them.

© Karsten Moran for The New York Times

An ad for Kalshi in 2024. The huge popularity of Kalshi and Polymarket has raised fears about how susceptible they are to manipulation by those with insider information.
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